Michelle Harner
I thought it would be appropriate for my first post on our new blog at the University of Maryland School of Law to discuss the CRAB—no, not the succulent crustacean that you can experience in restaurants throughout our great state, but rather the proposed Credit Rating Agency Board. And for those of you who are not fans of the acronym (or think it is a product of Senator Franken’s humor), as one of my good friends pointed out, it is probably better than Credit Rating Agency Panel. (I of course recognize that some of you may think that a more appropriate acronym.)
So what is the CRAB? Senator Franken proposed the concept as an amendment to the Senate’s Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010. Under the amendment, the Securities and Exchange Commission would appoint an independent board to determine which credit rating agencies are qualified to provide ratings and then randomly assign issuers to these agencies. (For a general description, see here and here.) The primary thrust of the amendment is to mitigate the acknowledged conflict of interest created by the issuer-pay model currently used by the big three agencies—Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch—and others. Under that model, the issuer of the security to be rated selects and pays the credit rating agency, thereby providing incentive for the agency to provide the desired rating. There are of course similar problems with the primary alternative to this model, i.e., the investor- or subscriber-pay model. (See here and here.)
Although I think the CRAB might be a slight improvement over the current system, it really does not address some of the key contributors to the financial crisis—e.g., greed and ignorance. I know that sounds harsh, but let’s face it, the desire to earn more money drove traders, bankers, credit rating agencies and others to ignore warning signs and cede to the pressures to keep the good times rolling as long as they could. (For comments on this conduct and the related criminal investigation, see here.) As one employee from Standard & Poor’s put it, "Let's hope we are all wealthy and retired by the time this house of cards falters." (See here for more emails.) Moreover, blind reliance on assurances from traders, bankers and credit rating agencies and a wide-spread failure to understand the true nature of the investment products facilitated and prolonged the charade. (For a tragic illustration of these two points, see here.)
Yes, the CRAB may prevent some of the horse-trading that undoubtedly goes on under the issuer-pay model, but it will not eliminate all pressures placed on credit rating agencies to deliver good ratings. It also does not provide any resources or incentives for credit rating agencies to implement substantive internal changes that might improve methodologies, analyses and the accuracy of ratings. Notably, there are no sanctions or other consequences for inadequate procedures, conflicts or mistakes. In fact, unlike the House financial reform bill, the Senate version would not revoke the liability exemption for credit rating agencies under the 1933 Securities Act. (For comparisons of the bills, see here, here and here.)
So is the CRAB a necessary reform? (For arguments against and recent attempts to quash it, see here and here.) On balance, I think the oversight, transparency and liability measures in the House bill, as well as the provision in both bills eliminating the reference to Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations in legislation, are more significant. (For an excellent overview of the issues and potential solutions, see Frank Partnoy’s whitepaper here; Lisa Nicholson also gave an outstanding presentation on issues relating to reliance on credit rating agencies and computer models at the 2010 Law & Society Annual Meeting.) Nevertheless, the concept underlying the CRAB—trying to keep the agencies honest—still has a role to play. Perhaps a modified version of the concept, like a random audit format where the board (or body charged with oversight) periodically identifies issuances to undergo a second rating by a randomly-selected qualified agency, might instill discipline without chilling competition and innovation.
Credit rating agencies are and will continue to be key players in our global economy, as evidenced by the impact of the recent downgrades of Greek and Spanish debt and the EU’s efforts to adopt its own ratings reform. As U.S. ratings reform works its way through the conference committee, I hope we stay focused on reducing reliance and increasing meaningful oversight and accountability. Otherwise, little is likely to change. Remember Enron and the Credit Rating Agency Reform Act of 2006?